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living love
07-28-2006, 12:45 AM
Glut of unsold new homes across US hits record high
Jul 27 12:46 PM US/Eastern
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The glut of brand new unsold homes for sale across the United States hit a record high in June, a government report showed, as some economists warned of a worsening market in coming months.

The latest data appeared to confirm a cooling trend in the housing market, following a boom and sky-rocketing prices of recent years that have priced many hopeful new home owners out of the market. In recent months, a steady rise in interest rates hikes has prompted a downturn in home buying.



Sales of new US homes declined three percent in June to a weaker-than-anticipated annualized rate of 1.131 million units, the Commerce Department said Thursday.

The drop in new home sales was steeper that most market-watchers had expected. Wall Street economists had only predicted sales to decline to 1.164 million units.

Analysts also zeroed in on the inventory of unsold new homes which leapt to a record high last month.

The government said the inventory of unsold new homes on the market rose 0.7 percent in June to a record 566,000, representing a 6.1-month supply of brand new homes at the June sales pace.

Most of the unsold new homes are located in the south of the country, the report showed.

Apart from a slight one month drop in the inventory in May, the stock of unsold new homes on the market has risen steady over the last 12 months.

"Many individuals, who signed a (purchase) contract in what they had believed was a booming housing market, may now be backing out of those contracts," said Phillip Neuhart, an analyst at Wachovia Securities.

"Thus, the new home market is likely weaker than new home sales reflects. We expect both existing and new home sales to continue their slide throughout

this year and the next," Neuhart said.

Some analysts are calling for a bursting of what they see as a property bubble and the report could exert fresh pressure on the Federal Reserve to pause its cycle of rate hikes.

The home sales market has been one of the key pillars propping up the world's largest economy, and while inflation is rising, the Fed will not want to jack up interest rates too much and risk a property market crash.

New homes sales across the United States have now fallen 11.1 percent compared to June 2005, and as the federal funds interest rate has risen to 5.25 percent.

"This was a weak report," observed Patrick Newport, an economist at Global Insight.

"Our view remains that sales will continue to slow over the course of this year and into next, because higher interest rates and rising home prices have reduced demand by raising the price of housing," he said.

http://www.breitbart.com/news/2006/07/27/060727164635.phgh289u.html

TheLateGreat
07-28-2006, 12:54 AM
The market in Las Vegas was completely insane.

Kraw
07-28-2006, 08:08 AM
good news :nice: I left a sellers market and moved to a buyers market. I've talked to some people at work that said it's hard to sell a house right now in the ATL area and get what you want. They said most people want to go well below your asking price AND ask you to pay closing costs :nice:

We'll be buying in about 6 months :D

Pappy&Me
07-28-2006, 01:46 PM
good news :nice: I left a sellers market and moved to a buyers market. I've talked to some people at work that said it's hard to sell a house right now in the ATL area and get what you want. They said most people want to go well below your asking price AND ask you to pay closing costs :nice:

We'll be buying in about 6 months :D



It's good news for you ,because your job will be safe , since we are fast becomming a police state . Nothing personal Kraw, just stating obvious .

The middle class is shrinking . We have well over 100 million un-educated immigrants that are lowering the blue collar wages of Americans who use to buy alot of these homes .

grimrebuke
07-28-2006, 02:09 PM
Real property isn't supposed to be a 2-year investment anyways. And any person with any grasp of economics or history knew that housing would take a hit as interest rates restabilized. Even without oil being the problem it is, inflation is going to slip into double-digits within 3 years. It has to because we have run such a large deficit. Running a deficit is exactly the same as printing money.
our big worry now has to be stagflation. If we don't find a way to grow non-G GDP fast enough to match inflation, we'll get price increases with no average wage increase (we are actually into this phase, we're just not near the peak yet). All of our tools for fighting inflation will hurt investment and limit market expansion. All of our tools for fighting unemployment (creating new government spending) will push inflation further up.
short-term woes in housing will be large numbers of mortgage foreclosures on interest-only variable-rate mortgages because of rate increases and a general slow-down in sales because mortgage rates are rising, meaning more supply piled on top of less demand.
Advice, lock any loans you have that are variable now. Property is a long-term investment, so prepare to hunker down in yours for a while. If you are invested in mortgage-backed securities or stock in mortgage companies, make sure their portfolio is largely fixed-rate, as those have lower risk right now. If you are selling, do it in the next 45 days and pick a new place you will stay in. If you have equity you can afford to finance, a strong interest rate upswing could let you invest at a higher rate than you are paying on your mortgage, so now is not the time to be paying down any mortgage that is under 6.5 %, keep some liquidity instead. And mentally prepare yourself for 12-14% mortgages by '09 unless something magical happens.

Pappy&Me
07-29-2006, 12:22 PM
Real property isn't supposed to be a 2-year investment anyways. And any person with any grasp of economics or history knew that housing would take a hit as interest rates restabilized. Even without oil being the problem it is, inflation is going to slip into double-digits within 3 years. It has to because we have run such a large deficit. Running a deficit is exactly the same as printing money.
our big worry now has to be stagflation. If we don't find a way to grow non-G GDP fast enough to match inflation, we'll get price increases with no average wage increase (we are actually into this phase, we're just not near the peak yet). All of our tools for fighting inflation will hurt investment and limit market expansion. All of our tools for fighting unemployment (creating new government spending) will push inflation further up.
short-term woes in housing will be large numbers of mortgage foreclosures on interest-only variable-rate mortgages because of rate increases and a general slow-down in sales because mortgage rates are rising, meaning more supply piled on top of less demand.
Advice, lock any loans you have that are variable now. Property is a long-term investment, so prepare to hunker down in yours for a while. If you are invested in mortgage-backed securities or stock in mortgage companies, make sure their portfolio is largely fixed-rate, as those have lower risk right now. If you are selling, do it in the next 45 days and pick a new place you will stay in. If you have equity you can afford to finance, a strong interest rate upswing could let you invest at a higher rate than you are paying on your mortgage, so now is not the time to be paying down any mortgage that is under 6.5 %, keep some liquidity instead. And mentally prepare yourself for 12-14% mortgages by '09 unless something magical happens.



Scratch off all of above , when you lose your job to downsizing, illegal or legal immigrant who will take it for less than half the wage . Companys closing down factories and moving to countrys with low wage .

grimrebuke
07-29-2006, 02:54 PM
Scratch off all of above , when you lose your job to downsizing, illegal or legal immigrant who will take it for less than half the wage . Companys closing down factories and moving to countrys with low wage .

Awesome. This is the perfect sentance, everyone should have to read my statement and your response. Everything I have written is based on research, historical precedent, and current events and trends. Everything that you wrote here was angry rhetoric with not one ounce of research, history, or current facts to back it up. People only plead to your ignorance when they want to enslave you, and you, sir, are pleading to everyone to ignore reason in favor of ignorance.

86Dude
07-29-2006, 07:11 PM
Vandals, vagrants, and teen party goers should take adavange of this!

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